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DeMar DeRozan LESS THAN 22.5 Points + Assists
DeRozan has stayed under this line in 61% of his games this season and is averaging fewer than 21.5 combined points and assists. He now matches up with a Pacers team that has held eight of the last ten small forwards they’ve faced below their projected points and assists. Given his production this year and the defensive trend on the other side, this number feels too high for DeRozan.
TJ McConnell MORE THAN 2.5 Rebounds
McConnell has gone over this line in six of his last nine games and is averaging more than 3.2 rebounds per contest. With Ben Sheppard sidelined, he’s seeing a bump in playing time, and he draws a favorable matchup against a Kings team that ranks 25th in total rebounds allowed and 23rd in rebounds given up to opposing point guards. This is a great low number for McConnell, and I love the spot.
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