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Donoval Faupel MORE THAN 3.5 Receptions
Faupel has clearly cemented himself as the go-to option in this New Mexico State passing attack, commanding a strong 23% target share and serving as the focal point of their aerial offense. He’s recorded at least four receptions in all but one game this season, showing remarkable consistency as the offense’s top weapon. With the Aggies entering this matchup as 9.5-point underdogs, game script should favor plenty of passing volume. I really like this spot for the entire New Mexico State passing game—and especially for Faupel to stay heavily involved and rack up opportunities.
Jaylen Raynor MORE THAN 0.5 Rush + Rec TDs
Raynor has been the engine of this offense all season, showcasing his dual-threat ability as both the team’s leading rusher and top scorer on the ground. He now draws a dream matchup against a South Alabama defense that has struggled mightily to stop the run—ranking 134th in run defense by PFF and 133rd in defensive EPA per play allowed. Even more telling, they’ve already surrendered six rushing touchdowns to opposing quarterbacks in just six games. With his rushing volume and red-zone usage, I love this play for Raynor, especially at plus odds.
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