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Kejon Owens MORE THAN 68.5 Rushing Yards
Western Kentucky has been getting gashed on the ground lately, allowing at least 135 rushing yards to opposing running backs in 3 of their last 4 games. They’re giving up a whopping 5.7 yards per carry — one of the seven worst marks in the entire country. Meanwhile, Owens continues to be the workhorse for FIU, logging 15+ carries per game behind a solid offensive line. Even as underdogs, I expect FIU to try and control the tempo by leaning on their ground game — and Owens should get plenty of opportunities to take advantage of this soft matchup.
Logan Fife MORE THAN 174.5 Passing Yards (Goblin)
Fife has cruised past this line in every game so far this season and draws another favorable setup here. Liberty comes in as a 9.5-point favorite, which means Fife should be forced to throw early and often to keep New Mexico State competitive. The Flames have shown some real weaknesses against the pass, ranking 120th nationally in defensive EPA per dropback. With game script and matchup both working in his favor, this discounted number for Fife looks like a great spot to attack.
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