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Tylor MeGill MORE THAN 5.5 Strikeouts
Megill has been in excellent form lately, going over this strikeout line in four of his last five outings while averaging an impressive 7.2 strikeouts per game during that stretch. He’s maintained a strong 29% strikeout rate on the season, showcasing his ability to generate swings and misses consistently. He now draws a favorable matchup against a Red Sox lineup that strikes out 23% of the time against right-handed pitching. With his recent momentum and this advantageous spot, Megill is well-positioned for another strong performance on the mound.
Austin Riley LESS THAN 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Riley has certainly been solid this season, but this line feels a bit inflated given his recent track record. He’s stayed under this number in 11 of his last 14 games and draws a tough assignment today. In his career against Trevor Williams, Riley has just 2 hits and 2 RBIs across 20 at-bats, highlighting his struggles in this matchup. With a difficult pitcher on the mound and recent trends working against him, this looks like a strong spot to back the under.
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