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Steph Curry MORE THAN 20.5 Points

Stephen Curry gets a nice value here in what could be a series-clinching matchup — a spot where he’s historically thrived. While he’s been a bit up and down in this series, going over this line in two of the four games, he’s still averaging a strong 26 points per game. But where things really get interesting is in potential closeout games. Since 2017, Curry has eclipsed this number in 17 of 21 series-clinching opportunities, consistently stepping up when the stakes are highest. That run includes a memorable 50-point explosion in his most recent closeout game back in 2023. With history on his side and the moment built for him, this is a great spot to ride with Steph.

Luka Doncic LESS THAN 47.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Luka has stayed under this line in 22 of 32 games since joining the Lakers, and he’s continued that trend in the postseason, going under in three of the four games in this series. Through those matchups, he’s averaging 42.75 combined points, rebounds, and assists — falling short of this number more often than not. He’s facing a tough test against a Timberwolves squad that ranks in the top 10 across all three statistical categories and sits in the upper third of the league in defending point guards. Given the matchup and his recent production, this line just feels a bit too ambitious for Luka.

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