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Baker Mayfield MORE THAN 18.5 Rushing Yards

After barely using his legs for a few weeks, Mayfield has snapped right back into full dual-threat mode, clearing this number in four straight games and piling up over 31 rushing yards per contest during that stretch. Now he draws a Falcons defense that has struggled mightily to contain mobile quarterbacks, ranking 29th in rushing yards allowed to the position at more than 23 per game — and that includes the 39 yards Mayfield put on them back in Week 1. This sets up as an excellent spot for him to keep that ground-game surge rolling.

David Sills LESS THAN 21.5 Receiving Yards

Even with all the injuries thinning out the depth chart around him, Sills still hasn’t managed to clear this number a single time all season. He’s averaging just a little over 8 yards per catch and hasn’t recorded more than two receptions in any game — and he’s only reached two grabs in three games total. This line is simply too ambitious for a player who hasn’t developed any real chemistry with the current quarterback and doesn’t create much after the catch.

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