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Zach Ertz LESS THAN 32.5 Receiving Yards
The Chiefs have been one of the toughest teams in the league against tight ends this season, allowing more than 30 receiving yards to the position just twice. Ertz has had an up-and-down year overall but has found some momentum lately with a few strong performances. However, that hot streak could cool off here, as he faces a stout Kansas City defense in a game where both Terry McLaurin and Deebo Samuel return to command more of the target share. This sets up as a tough spot for Ertz to keep his recent success going.

Travis Kelce MORE THAN 41.5 Receiving Yards
Kelce has been his usual reliable self this season, going over this line in six of seven games while averaging just under 54 receiving yards per contest. He now draws a dream matchup against a Washington defense that’s struggled badly in coverage, ranking 30th out of 32 teams according to PFF. With that kind of advantage and Mahomes likely to lean on his trusted target early and often, the Chiefs’ passing game should thrive — and Kelce is in a prime spot to deliver another strong outing.

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