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Latrell Caples LESS THAN 46.5 Receiving Yards

Caples is still listed as Boise State’s top wide receiver, but his recent production tells a different story. Over the last two games, he’s managed just one catch on four targets for seven total yards, showing a clear dip in involvement. While this week’s matchup isn’t overly challenging, Boise State enters as a three-touchdown favorite, which likely means a run-heavy game script and limited passing volume. Given his recent lack of usage and the projected flow of this game, I’m fading Caples here — the opportunity just isn’t there right now.

Jett Carpenter MORE THAN 1.5 Receptions

Carpenter has quietly been one of the most consistent pieces of this Nevada offense, going over this line in all but two games this season. As a tight end, he sits second on the team in total targets — a testament to how involved he is in the passing game. With Nevada entering this matchup as a three-touchdown underdog, they’ll be forced to throw early and often just to keep pace. I like his yardage prop as well, but given the expected game script and steady volume, his receptions line feels like the safer and smarter play here.

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