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Marcel Reed LESS THAN 318.5 Pass + Rush Yards
Reed showed noticeable improvement as last season progressed, but it’s important to note that he cleared this line only twice all year. Now he opens the season at home against UTSA, where Texas A\&M enters as a massive 24.5-point favorite. While the Aggies could be a bit thin in the backfield, meaning Reed might be asked to use his legs here and there, the coaching staff won’t be eager to risk their starting QB taking unnecessary hits in what projects to be a comfortable blowout. With all that in mind, this number feels far too inflated.
Chandler Morris LESS THAN 299.5 Passing Yards
Morris makes yet another move this season, landing at Virginia after stints at TCU and North Texas. He certainly has the arm talent to push the ball downfield, but he steps into an offense that historically hasn’t thrived on explosive passing plays. In fact, just 30% of their attempts last season traveled more than 10 yards through the air, which puts a natural cap on upside. While Virginia comes in as a 12-point favorite over Coastal Carolina and should have no problem moving the ball, expecting Morris to clear 300 passing yards feels like a stretch in a system that simply isn’t built for that kind of volume.
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