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Mitchell Parker LESS THAN 4.5 Strikeouts

Parker hasn’t cleared this strikeout line since mid-June and has struggled to generate whiffs, averaging fewer than 3 strikeouts per game over his last 7 starts. His strikeout rate has dipped to just 14.7%, placing him in the bottom 4% of all qualified pitchers—a concerning trend that appears to be getting worse. While he does draw a favorable matchup against the A’s, this number still feels a bit too ambitious given his recent form.

Shane Smith LESS THAN 15.5 Pitching Outs

Smith hasn’t pitched a full 5 innings since June 18 and has reached the 6th inning in just 3 of his last 16 starts. He returned from injury last week and turned in a respectable performance, tossing 79 pitches over 4.2 innings—but that came against a much softer opponent. Now he faces a much tougher challenge in a dangerous Seattle lineup that has the power and patience to get to him early. This is a tough spot for Smith to find any real length.

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