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Jake Irvin LESS THAN 27.5 Fantasy Points

Irvin has fallen short of this mark in 5 of his last 9 outings, averaging under 24.5 fantasy points per game during that stretch. He now faces a brutal matchup against a Reds lineup that’s had his number, hitting a scorching .333 across 60 career at-bats against him. Cincinnati also ranks third in the league in BABIP and sits inside the top 10 in batting average versus right-handed pitching. All signs point to a challenging day ahead for Irvin, making it hard to trust him in this spot.

Paul Goldschmidt MORE THAN 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Goldschmidt has had an up-and-down season overall, but he’s still averaging over 2 combined hits, runs, and RBIs per game and has cleared this line in 51% of his outings. Tonight, he draws a matchup against Kevin Gausman—a pitcher he’s absolutely owned in the past. In 16 career at-bats against Gausman, Goldy has racked up 9 hits while striking out just once, showcasing his comfort and confidence at the plate. Given the favorable history and his steady production, this is a spot I absolutely love for Goldschmidt to deliver.

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