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Jack Kochanowicz LESS THAN 6.5 Hits Allowed

Jack Kochanowicz hasn’t exactly dazzled this season, but this hit line feels a bit inflated given his recent trends. He’s stayed under this number in five straight outings and in nine of his last eleven overall. One key factor working in his favor here is his lack of length in games—he hasn’t been pitching deep into outings, which naturally limits opponents’ opportunities to rack up hits. While the Rangers are more than capable of doing damage, it’s unlikely they get to Kochanowicz for seven or more hits in this spot.

Juan Soto MORE THAN 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Juan Soto has been one of the most dangerous hitters in baseball this season, going over this line in 57% of his games and in four of his last five. Statistically, he’s been elite across the board—ranking in the top 1% of the league in expected batting average (xBA), expected weighted on-base average (xwOBA), and expected slugging (xSLG). He now draws an ideal matchup against Charlie Morton, a pitcher he’s absolutely crushed in the past. In 19 career plate appearances against Morton, Soto has racked up 12 hits, 7 walks, and 3 home runs. With his elite form and dominant history in this matchup, this sets up as a prime spot for Soto to once again go over this line.

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