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Austin Gomber LESS THAN 15.5 Outs

Gomber has yet to clear this line in any of his three starts this season, and the underlying metrics haven’t been encouraging. He’s posted a .310 expected batting average and a 34.5% hard-hit rate over those outings, indicating that opposing hitters are squaring him up consistently. Now he draws a brutal matchup against an Astros lineup that has plenty of familiarity with him—70 combined at-bats and a scorching .400 batting average. Given the tough opponent and his recent form, it’s hard to envision Gomber making it past the fifth inning, especially at home in a hitter-friendly environment.

Sean Murphy LESS THAN 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Murphy has struggled to consistently reach this number, staying under in 17 of his last 23 games—a clear sign of his recent inconsistency at the plate. He now faces Yusei Kikuchi, a pitcher who has had his number throughout their past matchups. In 10 career at-bats against Kikuchi, Murphy has managed just one hit, further underscoring the tough road ahead. Given the unfavorable history and his recent form, this shapes up as a challenging spot for Murphy to break through.

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