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Hayden Birdsong LESS THAN 5.5 Hits Allowed

Birdsong has consistently stayed under this line in every start he’s made this season, including each outing since his 2024 debut. While pitching in Colorado is never easy, the environment may not be as daunting as it seems—remarkably, the Rockies have managed more than 5 hits against a starting pitcher only twice in their last 14 games, and just once in 9 games during their most recent homestand. Despite the challenging setting, the matchup plays in Birdsong’s favor, and with his track record, this line feels like a great value. I’m all in on Birdsong here.

Corey Seager LESS THAN 7.5 Fantasy Points

Seager has really struggled to find his rhythm at the plate lately, staying under this fantasy points line in 10 of his last 11 games and averaging just a little over 3 fantasy points per contest during that stretch. While he has been drawing more walks recently, that trend may not hold up in this matchup—he’s facing Bailey Ober, a pitcher known for his excellent control and a walk rate of just 5.1%. Given the recent production and the tough pitching matchup, this looks like another uphill battle for Seager.

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