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Kelsey Mitchell LESS THAN 20.5 Points

Mitchell is coming off a strong performance in her last outing, stepping up in the absence of Sophie Cunningham and Caitlin Clark. However, despite the opportunity, her usage remained consistent with what we’ve seen all season. What really set her apart was her efficiency—she connected on 50% of her shots from the field, an impressive 57% from beyond the arc, and earned a season-high 10 trips to the free-throw line. While she draws a favorable matchup against the Sky, it’s worth noting she’s only cleared this line twice all season. Given that, this number feels a bit inflated.

Nneka Ogwumike LESS THAN 17.5 Points

Ogwumike has stayed under this number in 7 of her 10 games this season, with most of her scoring surge coming during a brief 3-game stretch where she was red-hot, knocking down double-digit field goals each night. Outside of that run, however, she’s been much more modest, averaging just 13 points per game. She now faces a tough test against a Phoenix squad that ranks top three in total points allowed and has been especially stingy against forwards—holding 5 of the last 6 at the position under their projected totals. Given the matchup, it’s going to be an uphill battle for Ogwumike to clear this line.

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