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Kyle Schwarber MORE THAN 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Schwarber has been off to an outstanding start this season, putting up elite metrics across the board. He ranks in the 99th percentile in expected weighted on-base average (xwOBA) at an impressive .438 and sits among the league’s best in hard-hit rate, hammering the ball at over 59%. He draws a favorable matchup here against Chris Bassitt, who has been fairly underwhelming this year. Historically, Schwarber has had Bassitt’s number—across 16 career at-bats, he’s slashing .438 with four extra-base hits, five RBIs, and two home runs. This sets up as a prime spot for Schwarber to keep rolling.

Jack Leiter MORE THAN 15.5 Pitching Outs

Leiter took a little time to settle into his first full MLB season, but he’s quickly finding his rhythm. He’s gone over this line in four of his last five starts, showing excellent command and consistency during that stretch. Opponents are managing just a .262 wOBA and a .168 batting average against him in those outings—numbers that speak to how effective he’s been at limiting damage. He’ll take on a capable Rays lineup here, but the unfamiliarity works in his favor, as Tampa Bay hasn’t faced him yet. With the multiplier staying steady, this feels like a strong value play on Leiter in a spot where he can continue to build momentum.

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