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Chase Dollander MORE THAN 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed

Chase Dollander has had an up-and-down season so far, showing flashes but also struggling with consistency. He’s gone over this line three times, but his underlying metrics tell a concerning story — including a 6.22 expected ERA (xERA), which highlights his vulnerability on the mound. He’ll face a red-hot Diamondbacks offense that ranks top 5 in runs scored per game and carries a strong .345 wOBA. With the way Arizona is swinging the bats, this looks like a tough spot for Dollander and a great opportunity for the D-backs to capitalize.

Michael Wacha MORE THAN 5.5 Hits Allowed

Michael Wacha has had an inconsistent season, and recently the struggles have shown — allowing at least 7 hits in 3 of his last 5 starts. He now faces a familiar opponent in the Cardinals, a team that has historically gotten the better of him. In 75 career at-bats against Wacha, the St. Louis lineup is batting .307 with a 1.000 OPS, showing both consistency and power. Given the history and Wacha’s recent form, this sets up as a strong spot for the Cardinals to rack up some hits.

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