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Manny Machado MORE THAN 2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Machado has been on fire at the plate, going over this number in seven straight games while putting up video-game-level production. During that stretch, he’s posted an incredible .600 wOBA and is averaging 4 combined hits, runs, and RBIs per game. He’s in a prime spot to stay hot today with a favorable matchup against the Rockies and right-hander Germán Márquez. Machado has absolutely owned this matchup in the past, batting .402 in his career against Márquez with 13 hits and 6 RBIs. Plus, with this game taking place at hitter-friendly Coors Field, the conditions are perfect for another big performance. I love this play.
Pavin Smith LESS THAN 0.5 Total Bases
While Smith has managed a few hits during this series, his recent overall production has been underwhelming—he’s fallen short of this line in 12 of his last 15 games. He faces a tough individual matchup today against Tony Gonsolin, a pitcher who has had his number in the past; Smith is just 1-for-13 in his career against him. Although he’s had a solid season overall, this particular spot presents some clear challenges, making it a tough setup for Smith to break out.
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