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Chase Dollander MORE THAN 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed

Chase Dollander has had a rocky start to the season, allowing 3 or more earned runs in 3 of his 5 outings—and in 2 of his 3 home starts at hitter-friendly Coors Field. He’s been getting hit hard, with a 46.8% hard-hit rate, and the long ball has been a major issue, surrendering 8 home runs across just 5 starts. Now he faces a red-hot Tigers offense that enters Colorado ranked 6th in the league with a .334 wOBA. This is a tough spot for Dollander, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see Detroit light him up.

Nolan Arenado LESS THAN 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs

Nolan Arenado has been swinging a hot bat lately, but he runs into a familiar foe who has given him fits throughout his career. Mitch Keller will be on the mound for the Pirates, and the matchup history isn’t kind to Arenado—he’s just 4-for-27 with a walk against Keller, translating to a .148 batting average. Given the sample size and his continued struggles in this head-to-head, this is a tough spot for Arenado to clear this number.

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