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Cal Quantrill LESS THAN 3.5 Strikeouts
Cal Quantrill has struggled to find his rhythm this season, with advanced metrics painting a concerning picture. His expected batting average ranks in the bottom 2% of the league, and his strikeout rate sits at just 13.1%—placing him in the bottom 6% among all pitchers. He’s gone over this line in only two starts all year and is averaging just 5.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The matchup doesn’t get any easier here, as the current Dodgers lineup has seen him well, striking out just 12.6% of the time over 127 career plate appearances. Given the data and the opponent, I’m all over the under in this spot.
Alejandro Kirk LESS THAN 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs
Alejandro Kirk has been swinging a hot bat recently, but he runs into a tough individual matchup today. He’s set to face Tyler Anderson, a pitcher who has had his number over the years—Kirk is 0-for-10 against Anderson in his career with 3 strikeouts to show for it. Despite his recent surge, Kirk has stayed under this line in 54% of games this season, which adds even more confidence to this play. Given the tough pitching matchup and his overall season trends, I really like the under here.
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