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Carlos Santana MORE THAN 0.5 Total Bases

Carlos Santana has been swinging a hot bat lately, racking up six hits over his last five games and clearing this number in four of those outings. He draws a favorable matchup today against Kevin Gausman, a pitcher he’s had success against historically — going 6-for-16 with three walks in their past meetings. If you’re looking to get a bit more aggressive, consider sprinkling on Santana to go over 1.5 total bases as well. He’s hit that mark in two of his last four games and owns four extra-base hits against Gausman in his career. With recent form and history on his side, Santana looks like a solid play in this spot.

William Contreras LESS THAN 1.5 Total Bases

William Contreras has been reliably consistent at the plate this season, but the bulk of his production comes in the form of singles — with 23 of his 28 hits being one-baggers. While he’s good for about a hit per game, his lack of extra-base pop limits his upside in spots like this. Today, he faces a tough matchup against Jameson Taillon, a pitcher he’s struggled against historically, managing just two hits and one walk in 17 career plate appearances. Given the matchup and Contreras’ contact profile, asking him to clear this number feels like a tall order. This is a spot where the under holds strong value.

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